Trading Volatility Breakouts In The SPDR S&P 500 ETF | Etfs ...

In my firm's last article on the volatility breakout trading strategy, we focused on explaining this trading method in easy to understand terms with clear examples. ?At the end of the article, it was suggested that simply knowing the general ?volatility breakout? approach is not enough to create a very profitable trading strategy. ?In fact, in certain markets and under certain conditions, taking volatility breakouts can be a very counterproductive trading strategy.

What is the key to making this strategy profitable? ?I want to share with you a few of the things that I have found to be highly effective when trading this approach in the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) stock index futures contract as well as the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY).

1.? Volatile market conditions: This strategy works best when the market is frothy with the emotions of speculation and? fear. ?Many would guess that buying upside volatility breakouts would be a great strategy to use during bull markets. ?In fact, this is often not the case. ?Bull markets frequently see volatility compress and trading ranges contract, which takes away the core market conditions where this strategy thrives. ??In fact, 2008 (a year in which the S&P 500 was down around 40%) was perhaps the best year ever to be trading volatility breakout strategies in stock index ETFs or stock index futures.

2. Opening Gaps: For those new to this concept, a price gap is simply when there is a different in price between yesterday?s close and today?s open.? Many traders believe that because markets trade almost 24 hours a day, gaps (as measured by day-session hours) are no longer useful as technical indicators.? ?I have found this to be false. ?Gaps have been and continue to be highly significant events for a number of different strategies, and this is particularly true for volatility breakouts.

3. The swing position of the market. ?By this I mean, ?Where is the current price relative to the recent trading range over ?X? number of days?" ? I used this concept in this article and applied it to just one day. ?However, it can also be applied to a longer period of time. ?I have found that on average, volatility breakouts work best when the direction of the breakout contradicts the swing-position of the market. ?For example:? Upside volatility breakouts work better when the prior day closed at the low end of the recent trading range.

By combining these three factors, you can come up with some very good trading strategies.

Note: None of these ideas involve an ultra-complex pattern or any type of advanced calculations. ?I have known some traders who use very complex, ?if, then?-type logical statements that use a huge number of inputs in effort to find the best trading patterns. ?While this might work for some, I have found that by distilling ideas into the most simple, conceptual form possible, they tend to work better in real time.

Good Trading.
?
Nat Stewart runs the trading-strategy website www.nastrading.com. The site?s mission:? ?Help traders capture explosive moves in the forex, futures, and stock markets.?

Twitter: https://twitter.com/NASTrading

No positions in stocks mentioned.

Source: http://www.minyanville.com/trading-and-investing/etfs/articles/etf-news-spy-255EGSPC-trading-tips/10/30/2012/id/45420

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Common food preservative may slow, even stop tumor growth

ScienceDaily (Oct. 30, 2012) ? Nisin, a common food preservative, may slow or stop squamous cell head and neck cancers, a University of Michigan study found.

What makes this particularly good news is that the Food and Drug Administration and the World Health Organization approved nisin as safe for human consumption decades ago, says Yvonne Kapila, the study's principal investigator and professor at the University of Michigan School of Dentistry.

This means that obtaining FDA approval to test nisin's suggested cancer-fighting properties on patients in a clinical setting won't take as long as a new therapy that hasn't been tried yet on people, she says.

Antibacterial agents like nisin alter cell properties in bacteria to render it harmless. However, it's only recently that scientists began looking to antibacterial agents like nisin to see if they altered properties in other types of cells, such as cancer cells or cells in tumors.

Oral cancer is a leading cause of death worldwide, and oral squamous cell carcinoma accounts for more than 90 percent of oral cancers. However, survival rates for oral cancer haven't improved in decades, according to the study.

"The poor five-year survival rates for oral cancer underscore the need to find new therapies for oral cancer," Kapila said. "The use of small antibacterial agents, like nisin, to treat cancer is a new approach that holds great promise. Nisin is a perfect example of this potential because it has been used safely in humans for many years, and now the laboratory studies support its anti-tumor potential."

The U-M study, which looked at the use of antimicrobials to fight cancerous tumors, suggests nisin, in part, slows cell proliferation or causes cell death through the activation of a protein called CHAC1 in cancer cells, a protein known to influence cell death.

The study is the first to show CHAC1's new role in promoting cancer cell death under nisin treatment. The findings also suggest that nisin may work by creating pores in the cancer cell membranes that allow an influx of calcium. It's unclear what role calcium plays in nisin-triggered cell death, but it's well known that calcium is a key regulator in cell death and survival.

Additionally, the findings suggest that nisin slows or stops tumor growth by interrupting the cell cycle in "bad" cells but not the good cells; thus nisin stops cancer cell proliferation but doesn't hurt good cells.

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Story Source:

The above story is reprinted from materials provided by University of Michigan.

Note: Materials may be edited for content and length. For further information, please contact the source cited above.

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Journal Reference:

1. Nam E. Joo, Kathryn Ritchie, Pachiyappan Kamarajan, Di Miao, Yvonne L. Kapila. Nisin, an apoptogenic bacteriocin and food preservative, attenuates HNSCC tumorigenesis via CHAC1. Cancer Medicine, 2012; DOI: 10.1002/cam4.35

Note: If no author is given, the source is cited instead.

Disclaimer: This article is not intended to provide medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. Views expressed here do not necessarily reflect those of ScienceDaily or its staff.

Source: http://feeds.sciencedaily.com/~r/sciencedaily/top_news/top_health/~3/tW4u4D5dkgQ/121030161232.htm

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Mich. police seek suspect in 22 roadway shootings

This image released by Michigan State Police shows drawing of a man suspected in a series of shootings over the past week over a three-county area of southeastern Michigan. Wixom police say in a release that the sketch was obtained from a witness to a shooting Thursday, Oct. 18, 2012, in Ingham County. That witness also described the suspect?s vehicle as resembling a dark 1998 Oldsmobile Alero or a 1998 Toyota Camry. (AP Photo/Michigan State Police)

This image released by Michigan State Police shows drawing of a man suspected in a series of shootings over the past week over a three-county area of southeastern Michigan. Wixom police say in a release that the sketch was obtained from a witness to a shooting Thursday, Oct. 18, 2012, in Ingham County. That witness also described the suspect?s vehicle as resembling a dark 1998 Oldsmobile Alero or a 1998 Toyota Camry. (AP Photo/Michigan State Police)

DETROIT (AP) ? Officers have begun pulling over and questioning drivers in four Michigan counties in the hopes of catching a man suspected of shooting at other motorists nearly two dozen times over the past two weeks, including one driver who was wounded over the weekend.

Officers are searching for anything out of the norm during their traffic stops in Oakland, Livingston, Ingham and Shiawassee counties, where the suspect is believed to have fired on 22 other vehicles since Oct. 16, said Lt. Mike Shaw, of the state police post in Brighton.

Witnesses have described the suspect's vehicle as resembling a dark 1998 Oldsmobile Alero or a 1998 Toyota Camry. Police on Monday stopped the driver of a dark-colored Chevy Cavalier after a woman reported that something hit her car on U.S. 23 near Brighton.

Those initial descriptions may not be correct, Shaw told The Associated Press Tuesday.

"We've had 22 victims that have tried to identify a vehicle traveling at 60 to 70 mph," he said. "We're looking for more suspicious activities that go with four-door vehicles and those darker in color ? somebody that's pulled over on the side of a road or coming out of a wood line on the side of a freeway. Or if you see the same car driving around with no sense of purpose.

"We'd rather check that out and err on the side of caution."

Shaw didn't have any totals on the number of cars stopped, but said drivers "have been more than cooperative."

More than 100 local police, sheriff's deputies, state troopers and federal agents are involved in the investigation, which began with reported shootings in Wixom, about 25 miles northwest of Detroit.

A western Michigan man was shot in the buttocks Saturday while driving to Detroit along Interstate 96 in Livingston County. He is the only person wounded so far, but the suspect is believed to be shooting at people ? not just their vehicles, Oakland County Sheriff Michael Bouchard said Tuesday.

"It's been more of the grace of God than the guy intentionally missing people," Bouchard said. "We've had people who have been missed (by) inches. One bullet was lodged in a driver's seat."

The suspect is believed to be shooting at vehicles approaching from the opposite direction, Shaw said.

Some motorists didn't realize their vehicles had been hit until a quarter-mile or more later.

A task force put together to investigate the shootings has received more than 800 tips, including 200 that came in after the reward money for information that leads to an arrest was increased Monday from $12,000 to $102,000, Bouchard said.

Authorities say it's imperative that they catch the suspect not only to protect lives, but to stop the spread of fear affecting everyday life.

"For Halloween, we are going to do special patrols in each of our subdivisions so kids can have a normal Halloween," said Clarence Goodlein, Wixon's public safety director. "We're not going to be in the business of letting a thug and hoodlum bully us and change the course of our lives."

Associated Press

Source: http://hosted2.ap.org/APDEFAULT/386c25518f464186bf7a2ac026580ce7/Article_2012-10-31-Michigan%20Shooting%20Spree/id-6c69324438d6490fa4c0e23a04b8e4ba

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You Don't Have to Be Crazy To Work Here | According To Hoyt

So, how does one become a writer?? The long-delayed post today ? because I had a routine doctor?s checkup ? gave me time to come back and look at your comments, and we can all agree that a degree in creative writing is about as useful as a meringue hammer.? At least I hope we all agree, because I?m sure of this.

In fact, what little I took in terms of creative writing in school probably hindered my writing commercial fiction.? It?s sort of looking at things the wrong way.? Your Creative Writing professor might have been ecstatic at the bit of symbolism in which you dress a character all in white to symbolize purity, but the reader is probably not even going to register it consciously, and if your character all-in-white proceeds to do nothing much that?s interesting, then well? The reader won?t be happy.

Mostly what the reader wants is to experience emotions.? If along with it you can backload some stuff to make the reader think, and if your reader is a thinking sort of person, bonus.? But mostly the reader wants to experience something and ?emotions? is the common denominator, atop of which you add the peculiar ?cookies? of each genre.? So, say, for romance, you have to have ? romantic stuff and tension between the couple; for SF (depending on subgenre) cool stuff like robots and space exploration; for fantasy everything from LOTR plus some; for urban fantasy shifters and vamps and hot chics (or cute guys) fighting them.? However if all those things don?t contribute to the emotional experience, you got nothing.

While from the critics end? well? they?re looking for symbolism and meaning and wondrous stuff like allusions to other books? yeah.? And most college courses teach you to be critics not writers.

So ? you can?t learn it in college.? What makes a writer a writer?

Well, you don?t have to be crazy to work here, but it helps.

Most of us started out telling ourselves stories.? Or we told younger siblings stories.? (I only had cats younger than I, and they were notoriously averse to standing still while I told them stories.)? Or, when we were older, we told our peers stories (guilty!)

I wrote my first ?novel? at six.? It was ten handwritten pages and Enid Blyton Famous Five Fanfic.? (Hey, one does what one can.)

By highschool I was writing 20k word ?novels? of very, very bad Clifford Simak pastiche.

And that?s part of what makes you a writer.? Like the artists of old who copied the works of the masters, almost all of us started out by writing things in imitation of those authors whose work had moved us the most.

At some point we realize it?s not quite ours, and we start experimenting.? For me that was my twenties, which generated a never end of REALLY BAD experiments, including some that can never be buried DEEP enough.? In fact, my kids are under notice if they find and publish any of them, I?ll come back and haunt them into the next century.

But in the middle of the experiments, my taste, formed by an awful lot of reading, picked this and that that worked, and that other thing that sparkled, and?? And I started to get a clue.

In my early thirties I had the revelation that I was writing for a reader.? Yeah, I know.? I?m slow that way.? Now, I had no idea who ?my reader? was or how he functioned, but I had an idea that I would write for the reader I?d like to attract.

And then it became sort of like playing chess on both sides, and things started to work.? That mind set is absolutely necessary to know when you?re too slow, when you?re too fast, when you?ve skipped something essential?

So ? it?s hard to acquire, though at this point it?s second nature.? (Posting at austen.com and getting comments as I wrote really helped that sense of what the readers were getting or not.)

And there it is.? You become a writer by:

1-????? Copying the masters.

2-????? Learning to go beyond copy

3-????? Reading an awful lot

4-????? Learning to write for readers.

Sounds easy, right?? Right.? And you?re wondering where the part comes where you suffer for your art, aren?t you?

Trust me, there?s suffering enough in there.? Like most simple plans, the difficulty is in the execution.

Now ? go work.

Source: http://accordingtohoyt.com/2012/10/29/you-dont-have-to-be-crazy-to-work-here/

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93% The Sessions

All Critics (88) | Top Critics (32) | Fresh (82) | Rotten (6)

Most often with The Sessions the blunt comedy outweighs the drift toward sanctimony.

It sends viewers out of the theater with a heightened sense of the physical and a real feeling for all the things that sex means in human life.

The achievement of this simply told, exceptionally fine film is the clarity with which it portrays the drama of a good soul in an inert body.

Hawkes' performance is the must-see hook of The Sessions, but Hunt gives this funny, touching movie its soul.

Character actor John Hawkes is often cast as a frightening rustic (Winter's Bone, Martha Marcy May Marlene), but he gives a tender and witty performance here as Mark O'Brien.

The joy of The Sessions goes beyond sexual healing. It makes physical intimacy far more a matter of the heart, and you won't be alone wiping an occasional tear.

"The Sessions" introduces us to some harsh truths we may not want to consider, but the outcome is one we cannot fail to understand.

"The Sessions" is a film that reminds us of the fragility of life, and how human beings are capable of a deep emotional bond when it is least expected.

... a story of triumph over disability that takes the form of an uplifting sex comedy rather than a depressing saga of a dying man.

That exceedingly rare combination of sexy, clever and sweet, a winning tale of one charming disabled man's quest to get some stank on his hangdown.

The film greatly benefits from Hawkes' tremendous performance. (Full Content Review for Parents also available)

For the entire endeavor to emotionally register, you must buy into the romance that purportedly blossoms between Hawkes and Hunt. I didn't, not for a second.

Hawkes' work here is that good that it carries one away on a wave of emotion that dismisses critical thought. The film around him could have been better but you're unlikely to realize that while you're watching it.

...a perfectly watchable showcase for two undeniably above-average performances.

Uneven and perhaps a little too tidy as it aims to promote one man's extraordinary spirit. It is John Hawkes and Helen Hunt, however, who are most worth seeing.

Practically ignores everything about O'Brien's life except as it relates to his sexual odyssey, turning the life of the man into little more than a curio.

A powerful expression of our common needs, fears, and consolations.

For better and for worse, The Sessions has 'crowd-pleaser' written all over it.

More Critic Reviews

Source: http://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/the_sessions/

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Stock markets to close on Monday, possibly Tuesday

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Tracking Hurricane Sandy: Handy Maps And Apps

Hurricane Sandy is bearing down on the East Coast of the U.S., bringing sustained wind, heavy rain, and flooding that's forcing roads, bridges and mass transit systems to close from New York City to Washington. We're following the storm's progress and its impacts here on The Two-Way .

The National Weather Service is providing updated forecasts and maps regularly on its website. And there's a close-up, color-coded status of the weather conditions along the East Coast.

We've dug up a few more resources: a selection of storm-tracking maps, graphics and animations from across the web. You can leave links for other web resources in the comments section below.

Storm Tracking Maps

Google.org's Crisis Response Map

The Weather Channel's Hurricane Tracker

Flooding Maps

WNYC's Storm Surge Map

National Weather Service's Flood Gauges

Photos And Animations

NASA's Earth Observatory is posting some pretty stunning satellite photographs of the storm.

The satellite loop below shows a series of full-resolution images taken one minute apart as Sandy approaches the East coast. Click here for the full-screen version.

On Twitter

NPR News is compiling a Twitter list of public media folks covering the storm.

There's also a list of utility companies' twitter feeds here.

And in case your power goes out and you lose internet access, The Washington Post has a handy how-to guide for forwarding tweets via text message.

Source: http://www.npr.org/blogs/thetwo-way/2012/10/29/163868633/tracking-hurricane-sandy-handy-maps-and-apps?ft=1&f=1007

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